More game data and we say below the videos
We say: Manchester City 2-1 Inter Milan
With Man City winning the ball back higher up the field on average than any other Champions League team this season (47.2m from their own net), and Inter doing so closest to their goal (38.4m), a classic attack-versus-defence encounter may ensue in Istanbul.
The Nerazzurri's counter-attacks can often prove devastating, though, and their recent purple patch in front of goal should also benefit their chances of breaching the Man City backline, but quelling Guardiola's potent frontmen will be a different matter entirely.
Despite Inter's previous rearguard solidity in Europe, Guardiola's charges possess the attacking wherewithal to finally propel themselves to European stardom and join their formerly noisy neighbours Man United in the exclusive treble-winning club.
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a
Manchester City win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Inter Milan has a probability of 31.03% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a
Manchester City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Inter Milan win is 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).
Result Manchester City Draw Inter Milan 44.21% ( 0) 24.76% ( 0) 31.03% ( -0)
Both teams to score 57.03%
54.07% ( -0) 45.93% ( 0)
31.76% 68.24% ( 0)
79.16% ( 0) 20.84% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5
46.48% ( 0) 53.52% ( 0)
72.05% 27.95% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5
36.42% ( -0) 63.58% ( 0)
Manchester City 44.21%
Inter Milan 31.03%
Manchester City Draw Inter Milan 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.21% 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.03%
Who will win Saturday's Champions League clash between Man City and Inter Milan?
Our expert tipster partners at
are predicting a home win in this match.
to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.
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